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"Deficit spending is simply a scheme for the hidden confiscation of wealth. Gold stands in the way of this insidious process. It stands as a protector of property rights." -- Alan Greenspan (1966) "Rising prices of precious metals and other commodities are an indication at a very early stage of an endeavor to move away from paper currencies. What is fascinating is the extent to which gold still holds reign over the financial system as the ultimate source of payment." -- Alan Greenspan (2009) "The just released minutes from the March 16-17 policy setting meeting by the Bank Of Japan indicate that dissension to global ZIRP, and its mutant step brother Galactic Moral Hazard is growing. The vote to double the BOJ 0.1% interest lending facility to ¥20 trillion saw a final tally of 5 to 2, with two opposing." -- Tyler Durden of Zero Hedge GOLDEN POTPOURRI ◄$$$ MY ARTICLE HIT A CHINESE WEBSITE. $$$ Apparently
Popular Financing out of China was impressed by my last
public article on the two major signals for the gold price,
in a rising crude oil price and rising USTreasury Bond
yield. They published the article in English in its entirety
on a Chinese website, one that featured their language
and symbols, kind of funny to look at. Many thanks. See
the article re-titled as "Two USDollar Signposts
and Gold Silver Stealth" on the Popular Finance
journal (CLICK HERE).
One must wonder whether readers are mostly in ◄$$$ SOME CONJECTURE IS IN ORDER FOR AN ALTERNATIVE CURRENCY RESERVE LAUNCH. THIS ARENA IS TREACHEROUS FOR ALL PARTIES, YET IT IS INEVITABLE. MY POSITION FOR TWO YEARS HAS BEEN THAT THE FIRST NATIONS TO BREAK FROM THE USDOLLAR WILL BE THE NEXT LEADERS IN THE NEW CHAPTER TO COME. THE HATCHING PROCESS OF A NEW GLOBAL RESERVE CURRENCY WILL BE MYSTERIOUS AND CLOAKED. $$$ It is the Jackass belief that a new currency will be
introduced within the next several months, maybe the next
year and a half. But, and a big but, YOU WILL NOT KNOW
IT WHEN IT HAPPENS!!! Pay special heed to the German
notification that suggested a new European Monetary Fund
should consider a gold backed fund instrument. This
is of key importance. Nobody paid much attention. In the
world of high finance, all hints must be heard, since
they might contain the key to the next door that opens.
◄$$$ THE NATIONAL INFLATION ASSN REPORTS THE MELTED
VALUE OF COINS IN The National Inflation Assn has announced the launch of a new platform program called "Coin Melt Values." The new NIA feature, shared with a public webpage, will update on a daily basis the latest meltdown values of US coins currently in circulation, in addition to those previously in circulation. Their purpose is to demonstrate how over time, inflation renders US coins worth more than their denomination values. The motive is made to reduce coins to metal for profit, without urging the public to engage in such illicit activity. It is not a felony to declare paper as legal tender, but it is a felony to melt down metal in coins. Go figure! Due to the rise in the price of copper, the 1909-1982
US one-cent penny is now worth 2.2402 cents, more than
double its face value. The ◄$$$ AN OFFER IS REJECTED FOR A BUYOUT OF A GOLD FIRM. ONE MIGHT CONCLUDE THAT THE MINING FIRM IS WORTH FAR MORE THAN OPENLY ESTIMATED BY MARKET PRICES. $$$ Lihir Gold has rejected a A$9.2 billion (=US$8.4B) offer
from Newcrest Mining. The Australian deal might have been
inadequate in the eyes of Lihir executives. Their staff
might harbor a viewpoint of sharply higher gold prices
in the future, and more difficult gold deposits to be
found. Newcrest Mining hoped to boost production at GOLD MARKET RIGS EXPOSED ◄$$$ WHISTLE BLOWER MAGUIRE TRIGGERS A GLOBAL STORY THAT SPREADS LIKE A VIRUS. THE STORY IS ELECTRIC, HISTORICALLY UNPRECEDENTED, AND GAME CHANGING. THE SILVER PRICE HAS MOVED IMMEDIATELY AFTERWARDS. REVERBERATIONS ARE AS POWERFUL AS THEY ARE BROAD. EXPOSURE OF THE SYNDICATE MANIPULATION OF THE SILVER MARKET IS LAID OUT IN SOME DETAIL, WITH WARNING GIVEN TO THE REGULATORY OFFICES. NO FOLLOW-UP HAS COME, NO MENTION IN THE MAINSTREAM PRESS, ONLY AN ELECTRIC VIRUS FLASHING ACROSS THE INTERNET, WHERE TRUE REPORTING OCCURS. THE LESSON LEARNED IS THAT ONLY PHYSICAL BULLION MAKES SENSE. INVESTORS SHOULD DEMAND DELIVERY OF PHYSICAL METAL IN ALL CASES. THE OFFICIAL MARKETS ARE RIGGED, RUINED, AND RECOGNIZED. $$$ A potentially devastating sequence of events has occurred in the silver market, which by example can be correctly inferred to the gold market. It seems the swine flu virus has been replaced by the silver rig virus, a powerful strain that circles the globe, infecting local markets, and causing perceptual shifts. Following the decisions of the regulatory commissions to investigate the effect of large futures positions on the commodity markets, the Powerz opened the door. At the same time, highly damaging emails between an individual warning the USFed watchdogs of silver manipulation in the metals market were secretly removed from their safe hiding place in the marbled offices of the USFed itself. The emails detailed in advance the price suppression to be done by JPMorgan, complete with timing and devices, timed to perfection since the events occurs as forewarned. The combination of events resulted in powerful testimony by a few people at what were scheduled to be sham hearings by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission on March 25th. Mark that day down in history. The CFTC, like the Securities & Exchange Commission, are blatant puppet groups run by Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan. Gary Gensler presides over the CFTC joke of a watchdog
squad, another Goldman Sachs preppie. At least 100 GSax
threads weave together the fabric of Wall Street and USGovt
corruption. Enter Andrew Maguire, a metals trader from
The following main points were made at the hearing by a stream witnesses led by Maguire, but also Gene Arensberg, Jeffrey Christian, Harvey Organ, and Bill Murphy: Ø JPMorgan routinely floods the gold & silver markets with naked short futures contracts, without benefit of metal collateral. JPM and the Big Four banks appear totally exempt from collateral rule enforcement. Ø JPM and the Big Four banks hold huge concentrated positions that never seem to diminish, but rather grow each and every year. The size of their position is usually greatly in excess of annual global production and has no possible economic bearing on mining operations. Ø JPMorgan routinely
sells gold & silver futures contracts during thin
market times like early in Ø JPMorgan and other Big Four banks routinely manage the exchange metals inventory with fractional techniques, whereby 100 times as much metal is sold than exists in hand. This is part of the Ponzi framework. The impact of the Zero Hedge exposé is magnificent. Its
analysts operate under the guise of pen names, and come
from inside the fortress, almost all Wall Street insiders,
analysts and brokers. Their work is seminal in reshaping
the next stage of the Western financial landscape. They
do a spectacular job. Their usage of Tyler Durden and
Gordon Gekko names is hilarious, taken from leading characters
in two Much credit as usual goes to the Gold Anti-Trust Action
(GATA) group, which had just broken a major story, in
which a Andrew Maguire is a brave man. Let's hope and pray he
survives the next year, is not killed by a drive-by shooting,
is not the victim of a home robbery murder, is not suicided
from hanging by the neck like the Freddie Mac CFO in his
own home, and is not caught suddenly with child pornography
on his office PC. Maguire is a metals trader in The Zero Hedge article displays exact email transmissions given to Eliud Ramirez, a senior investigator for the CFTC Enforcement Division, just before specific events, which offered in detail how the manipulation of the market was making progress. Such correct expected price movements would not be possible to predict unless the market was manipulated and heavily controlled. Maguire highlighted illegal concentrated and manipulative positions, and offered details of a series of correct warnings with anticipated outcomes. The CFTC, under influence by the Big Four, the USDept Treasury, and the USFed, permit the price intervention and manipulation to control. It is part of the USDollar and USTreasury defense of the indefensible. Ramirez showed notable politeness in response, but hardly any effectiveness at sentry duty. His job might be to cover up crimes rather than enforce laws, and ditto for Gensler. Not a single complaint filed to the CFTC for over a decade has ever resulted in any action whatsoever. By the way, Maguire let it be known that he has tape recordings of his telephone communications with the CFTC, which will be exposed in due time. Perhaps a class action suit by the People against the CFTC might be forthcoming, led by GATA. Maguire was not alone in tipping off the CFTC, only to find no action taken. Precious metals analyst Gene Arensberg wrote a letter to the CFTC before the spectacle hearing. He pointed out the concentrated positions by the Big Four banks, and the existing position limits that are not enforced. Arensberg wrote, "[Exemptions to positions limits are] given in such huge size that they overwhelm the trading of that market. Yet, that is exactly the condition we find in the gold and silver futures markets from time to time... [Such exemption has allowed] one side of the market to become dominant and very highly concentrated." That is the essence of market rigging! At the same CFTC hearings, astounding testimony came from Jeffrey Christian, founder of the CPM Group, a precious metals consulting firm. Formerly of Goldman Sachs, Christian actually revealed that the LBMA trades more than one hundred times the amount of gold that it actually has in inventory to back up the trades! He claimed that investors who buy physical gold on the LBMA are actually buying paper gold via contracts. The LBMA relies and hopes that most of the buyers will not demand physical delivery of their gold. If and when they do, then cash settlements are offered instead, exactly as reported by the Jackass several months ago. Christian's testimony has serious implications. It means that the LBMA is actually short many times the amount of gold it has in possession, as they run a Ponzi scheme. With sufficient delivery demands, the LBMA would quickly be in default. In fact, given that the LBMA has been pressuring buyers to take cash plus 25% rather than physical delivery, one can conclude already that the LBMA has been in technical default on its contract obligations to deliver physical gold to buyers. The LBMA is running a gold fractional metals exchange without disclosure. Look for possible prosecution of the LBMA for contract fraud. ◄$$$ REACTION IS BROAD AND DEEP TO THE C.F.T.C. HEARINGS ON THE RIGGED SILVER MARKET. A QUICK REVIEW IS GIVEN BY SOME PROMINENT PEOPLE. RADIO SHOWS AND VIDEO CLIPS FROM LEADING MEDIA INTERNET FIGURES CONTINUE TO FAN THE FLAMES. $$$ The Jackass had some doubts that the story would disseminate
quickly and turn viral globally. It has, but the viral
response is still early in the reaction to criminal pathogenesis.
Jesse of the Cafe Americain calls it 'The Biggest Fraud
in the World' in sincere style. Actually, the Fannie Mae
multi-trillion$ fraud ring is a rival on size, the central
clearinghouse for numerous fraud rings. But the gold price
rigging is central to the entire USDollar and USTreasury
management, thus more far reaching importance. Regardless,
Jesse reminds us that almost none of the mainstream media
networks have bothered to cover this story and to speak
to the principals, and either to debunk them, to support
them, or even to consider what they have to say. Jesse
compares the Maguire story to the Harry Markopolos story,
trying to get a hearing on the Madoff Ponzi Scheme. Markopolos
has been repeatedly ignored, intimidated, and discouraged
in every way possible by the establishment, and even has
feared for his life. Jesse calls the Maguire testimony
about the CFTC retarded behavior a bombshell. Jesse wrote,
"This has to be dealt with, one way or the other.
Bring it out into the light of day, and let the facts
be known. This is either the equivalent of the fictionalized
testimony on the order of the James Turk of GoldMoney stature believes a 'New Dynamic' has entered the Gold Market. That seems clear. He makes a direct parallel to the Markopolos warnings about the Madoff Ponzi Scheme and the SEC inaction. Both regulators in the CTFC and SEC are Wall Street and USGovt tools, no more. Turk stressed the importance of key funds switching out of the major corrupted Exchange Traded Funds and turning to physical metal. He believes the gold cartel will be targeted by powerful players, in a shift of perceptions and strategy. James Turk wrote, "The CFTC hearing confirmed what GATA has been saying all along, that the gold market is being manipulated. To achieve this manipulation, the gold cartel has accumulated a huge short position. Importantly, the hearing confirmed that the gold cartel's huge short positions are naked, meaning that these positions are not hedged. More to the point, the CFTC hearing revealed that there is 100-times more paper gold outstanding than physical gold... The revelations from the CFTC hearing are earth shaking, and indeed a 'New Dynamic' has emerged. The gold cartel now has a big target painted on its forehead. One can never predict the future, but it seems to me that as this news about the gold cartel's huge naked short position spreads, two things will happen. It is inevitable that the big traders and hedge funds will push the naked shorts to the wall by asking for physical metal. We could therefore see more hedge funds switching out of GLD like Greenlight Capital did last summer, which leads to the second likely outcome. If we get a squeeze on the naked shorts, the sky is the limit for precious metal prices. The gold cartel may not yet be finished, and will not be until the unholy Wall Street-WashDC axis is dismantled. But the gold cartel is on its way out. Over the past ten years, the gold cartel has staged a controlled retreat. It has been fighting the advancing gold price with propaganda, paper short sales, and the occasional dishoarding of physical metal from central bank vaults and more recently, the IMF. This retreat is, I suspect, about to turn into a rout, which means the upside potential for the precious metals is huge." Turk reminds the gold community of a principal message
made by GATA in The Wall Street Journal more than two
years ago, seven weeks before the collapse of Bear Stearns
and the start of the present financial crisis. It is worth
re-reading every six months for a reality check and inspirational
lift. GATA wrote in 2008, "The objective of
this manipulation is to conceal the mismanagement of the
US dollar so that it might retain its function as the
world's reserve currency. But to suppress the price of
gold is to disable the barometer of the international
financial system, so that all markets may be more easily
manipulated. This manipulation has been a primary cause
of the catastrophic excesses in the markets that now threaten
the whole world." The false foundation of
the USDollar requires a corrupt Gold market. All Radio shows have contributed much to the publicity for the gold & silver story gone viral. Tribute is due to Eric King and Max Keiser, who fan the flames around the globe. Hear the King World interview of Maguire, up close and personal, reviewing the details put forth at the CFTC exposure (CLICK HERE). Also hear the King World interview of a second bombshell. It involves accusations against ScotiaBank for an alleged vast shortage of gold bullion. Stunning new information has come forth about another piece of the puzzle in the gold fraud game. This time a finger is pointed at a large international bank with almost 15 million customers in 50 countries around the world, Scotia Macotta, the gold bullion bank. The unfolding saga continues to reveal a truly scummy sordid under-belly of US-UK financial stewardship. Hear the King World interview of Harvey & Lenny Organ & Adrian Douglas (CLICK HERE). A helpful hint: Click on the left side purple transmitter icon with the concentric circles to start the interview. In addition, Max Keiser and Stacy Herbert used the majority
of time on the hard hitting Keiser Report program on the
Russia Today television network to discuss the manipulation
of the silver market. They covered silver trader Andrew
Maguire's warning to the US Commodity Futures Trading
Commission about a manipulation of the silver market in
◄$$$ A SECOND WHISTLE BLOWER HAS ENTERED THE ROOM, WITH FURTHER DETAILS ABOUT ANOTHER CHAMBER OF THE SILVER MARKET RIG GAME. IT INVOLVES PHIBRO AND WARREN BUFFET. $$$ Another deep insider has joined the explosive exposure of the silver market. It is not a surprise to the Jackass to see Warren Buffet and his Berkshire Hathaway firm implicated. For five years, the Jackass has pointed out the ugly illicit connection between Buffet and Hank Greenberg of AIG. Buffet dirtied his hands with involvement in the silver market, losing his 129 million ounces, lying to his investors about selling the silver too early, and handing over the silver hoard to Barclays, which launched the totally corrupt SLV silver Exchange Traded Fund. Buffet might regret crawling into bed with Greenberg. He openly regrets swallowing the General RE credit derivative sewage. Buffet continued his Wall Street whoring with a purchase of a minority stake in Goldman Sachs. My guess is the investment was intended to patch up a wounded relationship, and earn Buffet a club membership card for future favors, like a GET OUT OF JAIL card on possible future legal prosecution. The deep insider has a message that will be developed. The weakest link in the precious metal market is abused by the big player, which involve Phibro and Warren Buffet. One should notice the parallels between the methods employed in the 1990 decade and the current market rig techniques. Pandora Box's has been opened, impossible to close. See the Zero Hedge article (CLICK HERE). ◄$$$ BIG FINGERS ARE POINTING AT SCOTIABANK. THE
RIGGED GOLD MARKET CONTROVERSY HAS TURNED TO A CANADIAN
FIRESTORM. ACCUSATIONS HAVE BEEN MADE THAT Reaction has come with serious doubt on the legitimacy
of any Exchange Traded Fund for gold. The target is the
iShares Gold ETF (IAU) whose vaulted gold bullion is supposedly
in ScotiaBank. Claims by informed persons have been made
that 90% of its inventory has been covertly depleted.
Accusations are lodged that JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs
have taken the gold illegally. Zero Hedge presented an
interview in the first week of April, featuring Harvey
and Lenny Organ with King World News, in which the Organs
recounted their personal visit to The same story of the Organs contains different intertwined
details. They mentioned their visit to the only bullion
bank vault in In fairness, other individuals report that upon personal
visits and loose inspections, large quantities of gold
bullion are visible at Scotia Macotta facilities, in opposition
to the claims made above. The jury is still out. In my
view, and the view of some personal colleagues, the Organs
are at risk of lawsuit. They are exposed for slander,
since their claims of fraudulent gold bullion bank management
might be sloppy and premature. Word has come that Scotia
Macotta owns about six ◄$$$ A HIT & RUN CAR INCIDENT ALMOST KILLS
THE WHISTLE BLOWER MAGUIRE IN The CFTC whistleblower was injured in a The Maguire testimony has ripped the tightly sealed lid
off of Pandora's Box with regard to the extreme fraud
and manipulation in the gold & silver markets. The
whole episode, complete with implications, has been covered
up by the The New York Post has published the Andrew Maguire silver
manipulation story, including some of the email exchanges
between Maguire and the CFTC outlining the exact sequence
how JPMorgan silver traders would manipulate the market,
and how huge illegal windfall profits would be gathered.
The CFTC was going to bury those emails. Enter Maguire,
who sent them to GATA after it was made clear to him that
the CFTC was going to cover them up in a heap behind marbled
walls. Bill Murphy then read them verbatim at the CFTC
hearing two weeks ago, much to the obvious surprise and
horror of Gary Gensler, chairman of the CFTC. The
Golden Truth editor received word from a very good friend
of his in A few Jackass comments. One should anticipate the lesser newspapers will eventually jump to take the risk of reporting the story. Some will attain prominence from courageous and intrepid reporting. This is hopeful, but syndicate backfire like murder and other threats against editors is also possible. Woodward & Bernstein made careers out of the Watergate story with the Washington Post. Remember that once upon a time the three major networks and affiliations owned television. Now HBO, TNT, ESPN, and Discovery have blown away the major networks on cableTV. ◄$$$ EVERBANK REVEALS INDIRECTLY ITS OWN GOLD FUND
FRAUD. THE EASY INFERENCE IS THAT THEY PROBABLY HAVE LITTLE
OR NO GOLD BULLION. AT LEAST THEY ARE HONEST ABOUT THEIR
IMPLICIT FRAUD. The management at EverBank appears to be admitting they have far less gold bullion that expected by investors, if one interprets their new policy. They admit a harsh policy was passed, as they even say, 'Inserted Without Proper Review' but they follow by defending that policy. They made a public announcement to possibly shut down gold & silver accounts, and convert to USDollars, a paper conversion. The slippery maneuver seems a clear violation of their own prospectus, even perhaps an SEC violation, maybe contract fraud. They cannot dictate what their liability is to investors. They announced, "Section 6.3.7. General Terms: We have added language clarifying our right to close your account. We may close your Metals Select Account at anytime upon reasonable notice to you. If we believe that it is necessary to close your account immediately in order to limit losses by you or us, we may close your account prior to providing notice to you. Notice from us to one of you is notice to all of you. If we close your account, we reserve the right to convert your Precious Metals to US dollars and tender the balance to you by mail." Notice the clear multiple mentions of conversion to USDollars, a point they do not wish to be unclear about. They continued with further written explanation. "We may close your EverBank Metals Select Account(s) or to convert Precious Metals to US dollars at anytime, if we deem such action prudent, necessary or appropriate, in our sole discretion, in response to acts of God, government restrictions (including, without limitation, the denial or cancellation of any export or other necessary license), wars, insurrections and/or any other cause beyond the reasonable control of us. If we do close your EverBank Metals Select Account(s) or convert the Precious Metals in such account(s) to US dollars as described above, we will not have any liability to you resulting from changes in the value of those Precious Metals resulting from the timing of our closing the account or converting the Precious Metals to US dollars." One is left to wonder if Goldman Sachs activity is covered by their acts of God!! What they seem to admit, without actual words, is that they have very little gold & silver bullion, and probably have a large hedge position. They could be heavily short both gold & silver, and own a pile of paper certificates, working in league with the gold cartel. They are positioning themselves with a back door to exit in case the precious metals prices zoom higher. An investor would not participate in the price rise. They could be an enlisted player in the Ponzi Scheme. They might be deadly fearful of the CFTC revelations of price rigging in the gold & silver markets, timed in unison suspiciously. They might be at high risk for catastrophic losses due to the 100:1 leverage in the LBMA & COMEX exchanges, with far more metal sold than exists in inventory. They are very clearly in my view admitting that they have almost no gold or silver, and have been running a fraudulent shell game. The other great possibility is that EverBank will assist
the USGovt in the confiscation of gold accounts, or rather
claims to gold bullion. Redemptions in US$ terms
after liquidation appears to be the path soon to be taken,
precisely what the Jackass has warned about for over four
years. Conversions of accounts to cash will deny
investors of participation in the powerful upward price
thrust. Therefore, Everbank gold fund investors should
get the hell out immediately. They repeat their legal
obligation to send investors their gold & silver directly
in certain types of accounts at any time. In effect, USDOLLAR REVALUATION URGENCY ◄$$$ HEAD OF Goldman Sachs alumnus William Dudley hints at the endgame,
rather than Exit Strategy, involving a steep USDollar
devaluation. He seems to concede the near permanent near
0% official interest rate. ◄$$$ THE EURO CENTRAL BANK AND BANK OF The European Central Bank left its benchmark interest
rate at a record low of 1.0% for the 11th month in a row.
Recession, sovereign debt to the South, and the need for
stimulus are the dominant themes for continued accommodation.
The spread between Greek and German debt is widening,
in fact worse than the first glimmer of the credit crisis
a few months ago. The Greek Govt 10-year bond yield went
over 4.4% points, the highest level ever since the Euro
currency was launched in 1999. Adding stress to strain,
the Greek 2-year bond spread has moved up 1.2% in consistent
manner. A key point was made in bank policy by Trichet.
The EuroCB head told the European Parliament that so-called
collateral crisis measures will not be abandoned at the
end of 2010 as originally planned. The EuroCB will
continue to accept lower rated government bonds as collateral
from banks. It will swap garbage for government backed
debt securities. Changes to the execution of the policy
will be steered to benefit the highest rated countries
like The Greek Govt debt has been nothing but a slide into
the chasm. The main focus has been on the 10-year bond
yield, and the spread versus the German Bund. Peaking
near 7.350%, the Greek long bond yield relaxed after the
quixotic positive reaction came about an aid package being
fashioned. Nevermind that the aid is vaporous and not
genuine. Their bond yield fell to 6.585%, providing a
wonderful opportunity for the credit market to sell it.
Sell it they did, the bond yield rising over 7.0% again.
Some phony stories are pushed in the press, where Wall
Street and In the same week, the Bank of England extended a record low in interest rates and put the £200 billion asset purchasing program on hold. They await a national election. Their official interest rate was left at 0.5% for the 13th consecutive month. Recession, deep deficits, and the need for stimulus are the dominant themes as well. See the Yahoo Finance article (CLICK HERE). Controlled low UKGilt yields will soon turn into a curse. Bidders will not arrive. The Reserve Bank of ◄$$$ RICKARDS OFFERS A SYNOPSIS OF THE USDOLLAR, USTREASURY, AND GOLD LANDSCAPE. IT LOOKS BLEAK FOR THE USGOVT, WHICH MUST GREATLY DEVALUATE THE USDOLLAR AND ACCEPT LOWER VALUE FOR ITS SOVEREIGN DEBT IN THE FORM OF USTREASURYS. WORSE, THE USDOLLAR MUST BE DEVALUED ACCORDING TO THE FEDERAL GUARANTEES FOR MORTGAGE AGENCY DEBT AND CREDIT DERIVATIVE BACKSTOPS. IMPLICATIONS TO GOLD ARE IMMEDIATE AND POWERFUL, ONCE MONETIZATION IS NO LONGER HIDDEN. $$$ Jim Rickards is cited in the Hat Trick Letter at times.
As senior managing director for market intelligence at
Omnis, he commands respect. His viewpoint is usually a
high level, without too many details, but with arguments
containing much credibility and legitimate force. He describes
the gold market, the USDollar, the debt situation in the
The following are points made by Rickards in synopsis. Obviously not enough gold & silver exists to cover the physical demand if holders of paper certificates in unallocated accounts demand delivery. Most likely only a small fraction of claims could be covered with the practical physical supply available. Cash settlement would have to be enforced in the majority of cases, known as technical default. The terms of cash settlements would not be advantageous, to say the least. The price would be set as of a record date, limited the effect of a run on gold & silver. That redemption price would be much less than the current physical price, which would continue to run higher apart from the defaulted settlement of the paper claims process. In other words, the settlement in cash would be both a contract violation and a denial that claims the best price. There is more here than meets the eye, based upon technicalities. If holding metal holdings are in an unallocated account, they are likely to be considered an unsecured creditor position. The fractional banking techniques have been revealed, laden with risk. The 100:1 leverage is reckless no matter what commodity or asset it involves, leaving little room for error. The gold bankers are in a bind of their own making. In no way can the existing real USGovt debt be paid
off without inflating the currency in which the debt is
held, even to the point of hyper-inflation. The risk
of unavoidable, since valuation of a national currency
must eventually reflect its fundamentals. Furthermore,
if the USFed's mortgage assets were marked to market,
the USFed itself would be declared insolvent (a point
made months ago by the Hat Trick Letter). Anything involving
paper claims payable in USDollars (stocks, bonds) is a
'Rope of Sand,' a complete illusion that is fraught with
risk. A $5500 per ounce of gold would be sufficient
to back up the money supply (M1) as an alternative to
hyper-inflation and an inflationary issuance of the currency.
Either powerful price inflation is permitted, or a five-fold
rise in the Gold price is permitted. The pressures are
unavoidable. The target price is $5000 to $10,000 per
troy ounce in current issue USDollars. The break point
will be when the The gold picture in
Aaron Krowne of the Mortgage Lender Implode website made
some excellent comments. He said, "Rickards is
extremely generous on two points: (1) that the USGovt
actually has 8000 tonnes of real non-debased gold, (2)
that M1 is a useful numerator against which to measure
dollar solvency, given the USGovt's short-term liabilities.
Even just at the federal, public, acknowledged level,
these liabilities already well exceed M1. Then start adding
in Fannie & Freddie obligations, AIG, other bailout
obligations, the general deficit spending, state &
local government obligations, and the picture darkens
considerably." Notice the term non-debased gold
to mean not tungsten bars with gold plating. The debt
that must eventually be monetized is not just its partial
reflection in the money supply, but all federally guaranteed
debt. The nationalization of agency debt and credit
derivative risk must be factored also into the USDollar
and Gold price. So far, it has not in any scintilla or
meaningful way. Thus the destabilizing events to come
in a Rob Kirby is much less generous, and provides an angle
to a greater perspective. He assists in revealing the
past track record of Rickards, who must be careful in
what he says. Kirby implicitly reveals why Rickards speaks
in such general tones. Kirby said, "Rather humorous
that Rickards, former legal counsel to LongTerm Capital
Mgmt, would be giving all of us talking points regarding
the root of our financial problems and how to patch things
up, ten years or more after his former firm nearly brought
down the world's financial system. His LTCM firm was
bailed out, allegedly, because they were SHORT some 300
tonnes of borrowed sovereign Italian gold bullion, something
which nobody from LTCM has ever addressed publicly, to
the best of my knowledge. [Some research reveals that]
Goldman Sachs employess literally made a MAD DASH from
the doors of LTCM and SCOFFED all the computers and relevant
data when they were placed into receivership. When low
lifes Greenspan & Rubin assembled a vaunted team of
banks and investment banks at the ON THE VERGE OF BRITISH IMPLOSION ◄$$$ BILL GROSS OF PIMCO GIVES CREDENCE TO A VICIOUS DEBT TRAP TO HIT THE UKGOVT. THE SOVEREIGN DEBT CRISIS CONTINUES ITS VIRAL PATH. THE GLOBAL CENTRAL BANK COP & GUIDE (BANK FOR INTL SETTLEMENTS) WARNS OF SOVEREIGN DEBT REACHING THE BOILING POINT. $$$ The The Bank for Intl Settlements (BIS) is the quasi-central bank for central banks, the last resort lender and temporary deal maker. The BIS also serves as the central bank analysis think tank. Their power is far more than even astute analysts assess. They had a key role in forcing the Wall Street issue in September 2008. The BIS has warned that sovereign debt crisis is at a boiling point, in its words. In a report, the BIS calls the baseline projection for the USGovt debt ratio to GDP to reach over 400% by 2040. THAT IS THIRD WORLD LEVEL. This is unacceptable, astonishing, and radical to the extreme. Bear in mind that they did NOT factor in Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac, nor the bankrupt Social Security, nor the soon to be bankrupt Medicare, and surely not the credit derivative exposure resident in AIG. Consider the BIS conclusion to be somewhat a confirmation of Professors Reinhart and Rogoff, whose work builds the case that the entire developed world is now bankrupt on a discounted basis. The high price of big bank sector bailouts is doom for nations. The bailouts for the banking system stand as the greatest fatally flawed Private-Public risk transfer experiment ever attempted. A grandiose banker welfare program has incited anger from the public, the bagholders bound to pay higher taxes and to suffer uglier price inflation, even as their pension and savings will shrivel and prove to be grossly inadequate. The public is only barely aware of the magnitude of the bailouts. Other elements include pouring money into the Black Holes of the Fannie Mae, AIG, and JPMorgan for staving off credit derivative losses hidden from view. See the UK Telegraph article (CLICK HERE). Global bankruptcy might be the plan, the final destination that permits imposition of a vast fascist regime over the Western world. ◄$$$ GASOLINE (PETROL) PRICES HIT £6 PER IMPERIAL
GALLON. A PERFECT STORM IS HITTING THE A preface to cover the conversion of units. A £6 price
per imperial gallon (five quarts) translates to US$7.20
per People are witnessing, whether they realize it or not, the accelerated deterioration of the UKEconomy, whose basis is the broken financial foundation. The events are unfolding as a correct Hat Trick Letter forecast made in 2007 and 2008. The breakdown in the British Pound that occurred in August 2008 was the initial signal of the Wall Street collapse, led by Lehman Brothers, joined by AIG and Fannie Mae. SHORTAGE, MANIPULATION & DEFAULT ◄$$$ SILVER SALES ARE SOARING IN THE UNITED STATES. DEMAND FOR COINS ALONE HAS GRABBED ALMOST ALL NATIONAL SILVER PRODUCTION. THE COIN BUSINESS IS VISIBLE TO THE PEOPLE, THE ULTIMATE SOURCE OF THE GOLD FEVER. $$$ The USMint seems to be one of the biggest and loudest
promoters of gold & silver as an investment, due to
their steady stream of news to tell the public of NOTHING
AVAILABLE. Not quite nothing, but extreme shortages, suspended
sales, long waits for delivery, wrong orders filled (from
undesired substitution), seeking raw metal, and so on.
The USMint just reported another record, but for silver.
The USMint sold more Silver Eagles in March and in 1Q2010
than ever before in history. A total of 9,023,500 American
Silver Eagles were purchased in the first quarter, the
highest amount since the coin was introduced in 1986.
While this is certainly bullish, something potentially
more potent is developing in the background, namely,
how this data coincides with Jeff Clark from Casey Research shares his theory, which
on its face seems very credible. Silver has been known
as the poor man's gold for decades, kind of like the Audi
as a poor man's BMW or Mercedes. Consequently, the market
effect comes as rising silver demand when gold becomes
perceived as too expensive. The gold price has stubbornly
remained above the $1000 level for over six month, even
spent many weeks above $1100. The silly forecasts from
Prechter and Gartman and other clowns turned out to be
nonsense, maybe motivated by bribery. After paid premiums,
the current gold coin price is above $1200, an amount
beyond affordable for many people. But the common folks
might find a handful of silver coins easier to snag in
a sale, a 12-pack for Joe SixPack, as Watch for confirming evidence of precious metal market
bifurcation, if and when gold sales were down in the face
of higher silver sales. The USMint reported a decline
in gold bullion sales of 20.8% in 1Q2010 versus the same
quarter of 2009. The Austrian Mint reported an 80% drop
in gold sales for the first two months of 2010, and the
Royal British Mint reported a 50% decline in gold coin
production for the first quarter. Compare the value of
recent sales figures. Gold Eagle sales in the ◄$$$ PRECIOUS METALS PRICES ARE BEING RESTRAINED BY MASSIVE NAKED SHORT SELLING, THE USUAL MODUS OPERANDI. THIS RALLY IS GRADUAL AND SERIOUS OPPOSED. THE METHOD IS NOT NEW, AS DETAILS ARE READILY AVAILABLE TO OBSERVE. MASSIVE PHYSICAL SUPPLY HAS BEEN REMOVED BY THE CORRUPT S.L.V. EXCHANGE TRADED FUND. THE MARKET DEVELOPMENTS COULD RESULT IN A ROBUST SHORT SQUEEZE AGAINST THE SILVER MANIPULATORS. $$$ Thanks to Ed Steer of "The Commitment of Traders report for positions held at the end of trading on Tuesday, April 6th were wall-to-wall ugly, and have deteriorated even more since then. The bullion banks increased their short position in silver by a whopping 5369 contracts. That is 26.8 million ounces worth of paper silver that they have sold short to stop the price rise as the tech funds rush in. Here is the full color COT graph for silver (CLICK HERE). Gold was just as ugly. The bullion banks increased their net short position by a monstrous 37,215 contracts, equal to 3.72 million ounces of paper gold since the prior week. As I said a couple of times during the last week or so, this rally is not going unopposed! Here is the full color gold COT report (CLICK HERE). One thing that Ted Butler pointed out was that JPMorgan does not appear to be going short silver on this rally, as other bullion banks are taking up the slack. I am of two minds on this turn of events. Either the CFTC has told JPMorgan to get out of Dodge, and they are trying to do just that without the other bullion banks finding out. Or they are just spreading out the short position equally between all '8 OR LESS' traders to take the heat off JPMorgan. But JPMorgan is the ring leader, and by far the biggest short in silver." A major silver short squeeze could be imminent. The National Inflation Assn has been publicizing the ripe conditions for a powerful market event to propel the silver price upward. In mid-December 2009, NIA declared silver the best investment for the next decade. The NIA pointed out the lack of coincidence that the very day Bear Stearns failed was the same day silver reached its multi-decade high of over $21 per ounce. They went on to say, "The reason why we believe the Federal Reserve was so eager to orchestrate a bailout of Bear Stearns, is that Bear Stearns was on the verge of being forced to cover their silver short position." WOW! Quite the ulterior motive! JPMorgan took over the concentrated short position in silver from Bear Stearns and gained complete control over the paper price for silver. In a short period of time, JPMorgan pushed the price of silver through strongarm manipulation below $9 per ounce. NIA describes many of the common price suppression techniques. That event seems long forgotten, but not to the Jackass. Investors who were not disheartened took the opportunity to buy large amounts of heavily discounted silver over a few months. NIA accuses JPMorgan of driving the price of silver down through naked short selling, selling silver futures contracts not backed by physical silver. The National Inflation Assn prefers to take the safe road politically. They state they tend not believe in conspiracy theories, yet describe the syndicate motives and many methods perfectly. They go on to mention that the precious metals market rigging is a potential multi-trillion$ fraud which has the potential to bring down the world's financial system. Therefore the Maguire hit & run car incident really makes a person think. But the NIA chooses to limit thinking at that point, at least publicly. The silver market provides a strong indication and preview warning into what is happening in the gold market. The silver market is small and its short position is so concentrated. Thus its price is easier to manipulate than gold, using the exact same manipulation techniques. It is all part of a grand initiative with powerful players to support the USDollar. Higher gold & silver prices would weaken the USDollar, or at least do damage to its image. An upside explosion in gold & silver prices would result in a complete loss of confidence in the USDollar, an event that is my longstanding forecast. All paper fiat currencies rely upon trust and confidence, and those byproducts are fading fast. Address also the USTreasury facade, its avalanche of supply from outsized endless USGovt deficits, and the very real threat to tarnish the USDollar from the paper side. So the USDollar is at heightened risk from both the metal (gold) side and the paper (USTBond) side. The USDollar is decaying, debauched, doomed, and dead, but it remains the vehicle for Wall Street fraud. At some time in the future, probably not the distant
future, the NIA believes investors will refuse cash settlements
and will demand with legal force through the usage of
attorneys and the courts the physical delivery of gold
they purchased legitimately. When that day comes, NIA
believes it will result in the biggest short squeeze in
the history of all commodities. The coin sector should
continue to apply firm pressure on the squeeze story,
since on the streets. The demand for silver coins is growing
fast, while the supply of silver mine production is lagging
badly. The ◄$$$ A SILVER DEFAULT OCCURRED ON SMALL SCALE.
THIS COULD BE A SIGN OF THINGS TO COME. BIG BANKS ARE
IN MORE DIRE STRAITS WITH SILVER THAN GOLD, BUT ON A SMALLER
SCALE. BETRAYALS WITHIN THE GOLD EXTENDED CARTEL A potentially explosive event has occurred that could mushroom into a broader chain of events. The metals exchanges have tiny amounts of silver bullion, and a default appears to have hit one major Wall Street bank. Harvey Organ shares the story. The key dynamic in the default is highly dangerous and extremely important for a change in the wind. Players in the silver market, typically those who heap praise and fear to the big cartel controllers, are betraying the big players by seizing silver product after they observe the price raids. They are snagging silver from under the noses of the Big Four banks after the price is pulled down by illicit force, common recognized tactics. They are greatly adding to the stress that Big Four banks are feeling by removal of physical metal, the Great Achilles Heel. This is a sterling silver knife in the back!! It is great to see the onset of deep division within the ranks of the cartel. They are turning on each other, sensing an opportunity to profit from the discount to physical metal offered by the cartel itself in its price suppression tactics. Seizing product after price raids is the ultimate in syndicate betrayal. Supposed cartel allies are attacking the cartel in skirmishes. Soon big players will join the attack on the cartel stronghold of metal inventory. The accelerating vanishing act of bullion metal is next, what is left of it. Not much!! Organ wrote gingerly, "I am going to report on
rumors. I emailed CHARTS FAIL TO TELL THE STORY ◄$$$ A PREFACE, ON REPORT SHIFT FOR THIS MONTH. $$$ Any financial market contains quantitative aspects (price, orders, demand, supply) and qualitative aspects (trend changes, confidence, fraud charges, political cover). The four markets of the USDollar, USTreasury Bond, Gold, and Crude Oil are loaded with both. Never in the six years of the Hat Trick Letter have the qualitative factors been more important than now, in shaping the market for the gold, and threatening paradigm shifts. Extreme forces are at work, from European sovereign debt risk, to London shortage of gold, to appearances of tungsten lacked gold bars, to admission of gold swaps by Greenspan, to outsized naked shorts under scrutiny, to skyrocketing USGovt deficits, to heavy hidden USTreasury monetization, to ongoing sacred wars, and finally to the CFTC hearings on gold & silver, combined with fraud charges against Goldman Sachs. The winds have changed in the last few months in a significant historically unprecedented and highly dangerous manner. Charts will be provided for the major assets and instruments, as usual, but be sure to know that on a given week in the future, a quantum change might come to any one of them, with a huge price shock. The decline shock in gold & silver, along with upward shock in USDollar was seen in the autumn months of 2008. My suspicion is the reverse is about to occur, and very soon. The following charts attempt to address qualitative factors with more emphasis. More conceptual items, less numerical items. ◄$$$ THE USDOLLAR IS EXHAUSTED IN ITS QUEER BOUNCE,
HARDLY A RECOVERY. THE SOURCE OF ITS STRENGTH WAS THE
WEAKNESS AND CONFUSION OF ITS ADVERSARY, THE EURO. THE
NEXT MOVE IS DOWN, NO MATTER WHAT HAPPENS IN ◄$$$ THE EURO HAS GONE THROUGH A NIGHTMARE. ITS FOUNDATION HAS BEEN SHAKEN. ANY ADDITIONAL BLITZKRIEG AGAINST THE EURO WILL BE WITH REDUCED STRENGTH. AT ITS GERMAN CORE, STRENGTH ABOUNDS. SOUTHERN FAT IS SOON TO BE CUT OFF. $$$ ◄$$$ THE USTREASURY LONG-TERM YIELD IS A MAJOR THREAT TO THE SYNDICATE. THE GOLD CARTEL AND USGOVT MUST CONTAIN ITS RISE. USGOVT DEBT ISSUANCE DICTATES CONSTANT PRESSURE FOR HIGHER YIELDS. THEY WILL BE RESISTED BY POWERFUL JPMORGAN ATTACKS USING HEAVILY LEVERAGED INTEREST RATE SWAPS, THE USUAL WEAPON. BUT FIRES ARE BURNING IN THAT FRAGILE WEAKENED BASEMENT. $$$ ◄$$$ THE CRUDE OIL PRICE IS DEMONSTRATED PROOF THAT ALL MAJOR CURRENCIES ARE IN DEEP TROUBLE. DESPITE A SUPPOSED STRONG USDOLLAR WITH GOVERNMENT AND MEDIA SUPPORT, CRUDE OIL RISES IN A STEADY GLIDE PATH. CRUDE OIL IS THE BEST COMMODITY HEDGE AGAINST BOTH THE USDOLLAR AND ALL OTHER MORTALLY WOUNDED CURRENCIES. THE OIL PRICE IGNORES A SUPPLY GLUT. $$$ ◄$$$ THE GOLD MARKET HAS UNDERGONE A PERCEPTUAL CHANGE. THE EXTREME SHORTAGE IS RECOGNIZED. THE RIGGED MARKET IS SLOWLY BEING UNDERSTOOD, ACCEPTED, AND REVEALED. THE UPTREND IS CLEAR, AND A CHALLENGE OF HIGHS IS IMMINENT. A $100 SINGLE WEEK MOVE IS POSSIBLE SOON. $$$ ◄$$$ THE SILVER MARKET HAS ALSO UNDERGONE A PERCEPTUAL CHANGE. AN EVEN GREATER EXTREME SHORTAGE IS RECOGNIZED. THE RIGGED MARKET IS SLOWLY BEING UNDERSTOOD, ACCEPTED, AND REVEALED. A STRONG REVERSAL IS EVIDENT, SOON TO SEE A CHALLENGE OF HIGHS. THIS IS A MUCH SMALLER AND MORE EXPLOSIVE MARKET, WITH AT LEAST DOUBLE THE POTENTIAL PRICE GAINS COMPARED TO GOLD. A $10 SINGLE WEEK MOVE IS POSSIBLE SOON. $$$ ◄$$$ THE GOLD MINING STOCK ARENA IS TIMID. IT BENEFITED
FROM A REVERSAL LAST YEAR. THE UPTREND IS SLIGHT. THE
TIMIDITY IS CLEAR. MY PREFERENCE IS FOR PHYSICAL METAL
OVER ANY FORM OF PAPER, INCLUDING MINING STOCKS. $$$ CHINESE FINANCIAL SHOCK WAVES ◄$$$ A CHINESE BOND FAILURE OCCURRED. THEY DO NOT
HAVE RIGGED PHONY MARKETS ARE ARE THUS MORE VULNERABLE
WHEN REALITY STRIKES. BOND VIGILANTES ARE ALIVE AND WELL
IN A Chinese Bill auction failed, the first important such
auction globally. Even Greek bond auctions have not failed,
which Wall Street and ◄$$$ In The story is remarkable since it is not isolated. Intrigue
has entered the picture. The deaths might be attempts
to abridge and curtail investigations. The Shanghai Daily
describes this as a trend. It reports, "More than
20 suicides have been reported among ◄$$$ THE EURO CENTRAL BANK WILL SOON BLOCK ANY ATTEMPT TO USE NON-EURO BONDS AS COLLATERAL. THE ASSAULT AGAINST THE USDOLLAR COMES FROM AN UNLIKELY SOURCE. REGARD THE GESTURE AS AN ACT OF SELF-PRESERVATION TOWARD SURVIVAL AMIDST GREAT CHALLENGES. $$$ The Euro Central Bank has recently released its collateral
schedule, a list of acceptable assets for exchange. The
EuroCB will no longer accept non-Euro denominated assets
as collateral. The EuroCB will continue to accept
sub-A rated debt as collateral after January 1st 2011,
as was widely speculated. Such policy is crucial to facilitiate
funding requirements for countries that lack solid debt
ratings. The flow of bank asset swaps will continue as
brisk. One can conclude that the EuroCB acts as the toxic
European bond repository, and will win insolvency as its
eventual reward. The EuroCB has been clear, when they
stated "The new haircuts will not imply an undue
decrease in the collateral available to counterparties."
The great notable policy change, however, is that the
EuroCB has announced that non Euro-denominated collateral
will no longer be accepted after year 2010. Such news
is alarming for countries whose financial firms had planned
on dumping their CHINESE BIG LEAGUE GOLD ACTION ◄$$$ HONG KONG PULLS GOLD RESERVES FROM Hong Kong has finally yanked all gold reserves from
depositories in The Asian regional central banks are certain to use the
◄$$$ CHINESE CONTINUE TO DOMINATE IN PHYSICAL GOLD
DEMAND. A 6% RISE IN JEWELRY DEMAND PUSHED The insatiable Chinese appetite for gold continues to
exceed supply. The latest research document from the World
Gold Council comes from an analyst standing in Chinese jewelry demand has averaged 250 tonnes of gold
per annum over the past ten years. Total jewelry &
bar hoarding demand has averaged 3355 tonnes annually
over the same period, according to GFMS data. That gives
Thanks to the following for charts StockCharts, Financial Times, UK Independent, Wall Street Journal, Northern Trust, Business Week, Merrill Lynch, Shadow Govt Statistics. |
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